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BTC touches 95,000 by Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC

RulesOct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Volume
$130,652
Yes chance
10%
Chance11%
0%10%20%12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM12 AM

Order Book

Yes
PriceSharesTotal
17¢124$796
16¢499$774
15¢1,743$695
14¢288$433
13¢354$393
12¢835$347
11¢2,242$247
Spread
10¢4,333$433
1,013$524
1,701$661
200$671
300$683
4,332$813
14,750$1,108
68,805$1,108
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Market Rules

The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 95,000 at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 1-second TWAP of BTC-USDC mark price equals or crosses 95,000 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before Oct 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 95,000 by then.

Yes and No share one merged book — a bid on Yes at p is an ask on No at 1 − p. Fully collateralized, settles in USDC. Coins: #12120, #12121

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